ISRAEL 
HIGH-TECH & INVESTMENT REPORT

from the April 2001 issue


Venture Capitalists Meet as Stock Markets Signal Prospects of Global Recession


We turn to assess critically and analytically Israel's competitiveness on the global scene. With the possibility of a deepening economic downturn in the United States and the prospect of a knock-on effect spreading to other countries, investors and venture capitalists will wish to pinpoint the countries and areas of investment where they can seek attractive opportunities.

In our current April issue we are taking a closer look at Israel and identify Israel's position as a competitor among western industrial nations. We were aided by some excellent reports, which include the highly informative study -- U.S. Competitiveness 2001. This answers some basic questions such as what drove the U.S. prosperity of the last decade, where did America fall short in economic performance, and which countries are emerging as challengers to American leadership.

The just-released Bank of Israel Recent Economic Developments report for the second half of 2000 is instructive. It pinpoints recent trends and allows us to extrapolate as to what we may expect in the future.

Just a fortnight ago we received IVC-Online's report on Trends of Israeli High-Tech Industry in 2000. It concludes that attracting risk capital is linked to the movements of Nasdaq and not to political unrest.

There has been massive entrepreneurial activity in Israel in the past three to four years. Ministers from Ireland and Australia, among others, have visited Israel to study the nature of this activity. They have come to learn about the unique characteristics of Israel's high-tech community and to learn about the government policies which support research and development and which offer tax relief to the foreign investor. In reality the visitors came to better understand how Israelis are harnessing themselves to the globalization process. Israeli entrepreneurial activity is responsible for high-tech exports representing 60% of this country's total exports. Estimates have been put forth that three to four startups were born daily in 1998-2000. The combined results of this entrepreneurial energy and activity, are impressive in the increase of foreign investment and job creation.

However, the big picture has recently dramatically changed. The valuations of the high-tech public companies on Nasdaq, including those of many of the 125 Israeli companies were decimated by nearly four trillion dollars. Should major economic morasses develop, a deleterious effect could extend not only to startups and the venture capital community but to the economies of the industrialized western world.

The seven fat years and the seven lean years, figuratively if not literally, that we read about in the Bible, may be replaying themselves as capitalism is being put to the test. The venture capital community is evaluating its future steps as stock markets' performances are forecasting the prospect of a global recession.


Reprinted from the Israel High-Tech & Investment Report April 2001

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