ISRAEL 
HIGH-TECH & INVESTMENT REPORT

from the January 2002 issue


Sensitivity to Political Trends, Swings in Sentiment and Share Performance in Europe


Currently 32 Israeli companies that have raised capital on European markets have their shares traded on these European Stock Exchanges. With the exception of four, these companies fall into the category of being high technology, or high technology related. Edouard Cukierman, founder of the investment banking firm Cukierman & Co., is a major booster of opportunities for Israeli companies in Europe. Characteristically, he named the recent conference: "Go 4 Europe" . Cukierman & Co and the Catalyst Investment LP, have been responsible, more than any other Israeli venture capital group, for bringing Israeli companies to Europe. The field is wide open they claim, but it will undoubtedly take years before the level of European listings begin to catch up with the number of Israeli Companies on Wall Street, now exceeding 125. The performance of Israeli companies on global markets, in the past has resulted in investor returns that exceeded benchmark indices both on the up-and-down side. Our own Israel High-Tech Model Portfolio, was cashed out on November 20, 1999. The original investment of $246,850 as of January 1999 had grown by 175% to $678,540, in less than two years. [IHTIR Dec. 2001 vol.XVII issue No. 1] This performance bested many of the top high-growth American or off-shore mutual funds.

In spite of premonitions and anticipation that 2001 would be a poor year for high-tech, we formed a new model portfolio on January 2, 2001 and named it the Israel High-Tech Model Millennium Portfolio. As of December 12 the portfolio had lost 38.3 % of its value while the NASDAQ 100, a benchmark index of the top US high-tech companies is down by 29%.

When we recently attended the "Go 4 Europe" held in Tel-Aviv we heard from Mr. Yair Shamir, Chairman of Catalyst Investments LP, one of the organizers of the conference, that shares of companies traded on the European Stock Exchanges had lost about 24% of their value, while the shares of Israeli companies traded on these markets had fallen by 47%. Both Mr. Shamir and one other speaker, blamed Europeans' sensitivity to the political situation as being the key factor in the apparent downside discount accorded to Israeli companies. However, Frances Bornstein, Vice KPresident and Deputy Head of the SWX New Market disagrees. She points out " that the Swiss market looks for quality" and that the European markets are not as sensitive to the Israeli political scene as had been suggested by panelists at the conference. CardGard and Shahal, two quality Israeli companies floated and traded on the Swiss Exchanges, have not fared too well this year. Shahal held a successful IPO a year ago, and its shares rose 22% on the first day of trading.

Overall this year the Shahal shares are down by more than 50%. Card Gard, a premium and highly profitable Israeli company, in spite of the price of its shares establishing a record performance in 2000 . However, in the first year after its IPO the shares are down by nearly 40% in 2001. Irregardless of the basic issues of maintaining an Israeli registration, the fact is that Card Gard announced a decision to move its home from Israel to Switzerland. This also says a lot about what perceptions managements wish to project to the investment world. Since Israeli shares, have been excessively pressured lower, whether due to negative European sentiment or apathy towards high-tech, it may be a good idea to re examine the Israeli shares as prospects for a major rebound, as world markets recover. The current positive change in European attitudes towards Israel can also add to their investment appeal.


Reprinted from the Israel High-Tech & Investment Report January 2002

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